3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,500 sqft ·
Built 2007
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,792/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$662
HOA
−$289
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$586
Net cashflow
$-108/mo
Annual
$-1,301/yr
Cap rate
5.79%
Cash-on-cash
-1.79%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$72,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $260k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-108 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $241k (7.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $260k).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $241k (7.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#493 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
Wauconda CUSD 118 (suburban): math 22% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #267 of 620 in IL (top 43%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 97 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask is 88% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $138k; list at $260k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($99k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-93FJ60FHHF1SJ3
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29