1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
504 sqft ·
Built 1903
· Townhouse
· Active
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,299/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$813
Tax + insurance
−$258
HOA
−$448
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$273
Net cashflow
$-493/mo
Annual
$-5,917/yr
Cap rate
2.48%
Cash-on-cash
-13.63%
DSCR
0.39
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$43,400
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $155k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-493 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $84k (46.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (16.2% below list).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $84k (46.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#72 in OR, #3,256 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Portland SD 1J (urban): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #23 of 183 in OR (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Ainsworth Elementary School (563 students, 9% FRL); West Sylvan Middle School (757 students, 13% FRL); Lincoln High School (1,525 students, 11% FRL) — zoned schools average 11% FRL vs 37% district-wide (26 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent; built in 1903 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 290 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 80d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,041 units permitted in Multnomah County in 2024 (905 in 5+ unit buildings).
Multnomah County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1903 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-93PBXZ9K09G3Q8
· Data 3 months agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29