2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
952 sqft ·
Built 2015
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,725/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$108
HOA
−$700
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$362
Net cashflow
$214/mo
Annual
$2,566/yr
Cap rate
10.24%
Cash-on-cash
14.10%
DSCR
1.63
1% rule
2.65%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $214 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#800 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Lower Dauphin SD (suburban): math 45% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #130 of 539 in PA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Lower Dauphin Hs (math 82%, 1,085 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools at 22% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 41% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 106 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $46k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($116k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and in need of replacement
Moderate: bathroom fixtures
— dated and in need of replacement
Minor: exterior siding
— moderate wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-9413M42TGQRGSF
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29