3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,440 sqft ·
Built 2004
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 221 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,622/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,044
Tax + insurance
−$332
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$341
Net cashflow
$-94/mo
Annual
$-1,128/yr
Cap rate
5.73%
Cash-on-cash
-2.02%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$55,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-94 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $185k (6.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $162k (18.5% below list).
It's been on market 221 days — a 12% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $162k (18.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#279 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
Cullman County (rural): math 19% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #49 of 129 in AL (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Fairview Elementary School (math 16% / reading 54%, grade F, #291 of 627 statewide, top 47%, 614 students, 66% FRL); Fairview Middle School (math 12% / reading 53%, grade F, #105 of 257 statewide, top 42%, 305 students, 64% FRL); Fairview High School (math 37% / reading 22%, grade F, #70 of 305 statewide, top 27%, 501 students, 61% FRL).
Market conditions: 138 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Cullman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 221 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-953P1V085P5SQE
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29