16 bd · 16.0 ba ·
3,876 sqft ·
Built 1880
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 130 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,805/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,468
Tax + insurance
−$436
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,009
Net cashflow
$1,892/mo
Annual
$22,707/yr
Cap rate
14.41%
Cash-on-cash
28.97%
DSCR
2.29
1% rule
1.72%
Cash to close
$78,372
Investor read
This is a 4 × 4-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $280k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive. Per door: $473/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $280k).
It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $246k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#761 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living B; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
Schoharie Central School District (rural): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #476 of 590 in NY (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Schoharie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Schoharie County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$48k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29