2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
840 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Manufactured
· Active
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,533/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$131
Tax + insurance
−$42
HOA
−$935
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$322
Net cashflow
$103/mo
Annual
$1,237/yr
Cap rate
11.24%
Cash-on-cash
17.68%
DSCR
1.79
1% rule
6.13%
Cash to close
$7,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $103 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $25k).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $25k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#19 in UT, #810 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Ogden City District (urban): math 25% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #72 of 80 in UT (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Heritage School (math 21% / reading 25%, grade F, #501 of 585 statewide, top 86%, 638 students, 100% FRL); Highland Junior High (math 12% / reading 18%, grade F, #135 of 138 statewide, top 98%, 715 students, 0% FRL); Ben Lomond High (math 11% / reading 28%, grade F, #158 of 171 statewide, top 94%, 1,169 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 75% district-wide (27 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 61% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 611 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,630 units permitted in Weber County in 2024 (521 in 5+ unit buildings).
Weber County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Significant wear and tear
Major: roof
— Aged appearance
CashFlowRE · CFR-95K1QA421AB55B
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29