4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,190 sqft ·
Built 1999
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 164 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,933
Tax + insurance
−$1,102
HOA
−$33
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,155
Net cashflow
$-723/mo
Annual
$-8,673/yr
Cap rate
5.14%
Cash-on-cash
-4.13%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$210,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $750k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-723 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $622k (17.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $550k (26.7% below list).
It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($660k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $550k (26.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $80k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $75k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#236 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Gunter ISD (rural): math 47% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #103 of 826 in TX (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Gunter El (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #621 of 4,322 statewide, top 15%, 414 students, 23% FRL); Gunter Middle (math 46% / reading 56%, grade C, #326 of 1,662 statewide, top 20%, 373 students, 19% FRL); Gunter H S (math 42% / reading 67%, grade C-, #379 of 1,632 statewide, top 26%, 371 students, 20% FRL).
Market conditions: 201 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,272 units permitted in Grayson County in 2024 (750 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grayson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$129k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 1.8% in Gunter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-95PZ334NVNYS3C
· Data 22 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29