4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,979 sqft ·
Built 2013
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,693/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,731
Tax + insurance
−$453
HOA
−$41
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$566
Net cashflow
$-98/mo
Annual
$-1,171/yr
Cap rate
5.94%
Cash-on-cash
-1.27%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$92,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $330k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-98 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $313k (5.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $269k (18.4% below list).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $269k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#173 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Savannah-Chatham County (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #134 of 174 in GA (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 379 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,694 units permitted in Chatham County in 2024 (973 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chatham County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.1% in Port Wentworth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-95RV3Y1B0BEE3B
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29