3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
925 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active Under Contract
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,990/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$179
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$418
Net cashflow
$502/mo
Annual
$6,024/yr
Cap rate
9.84%
Cash-on-cash
12.66%
DSCR
1.56
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$47,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $502 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $167k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#246 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Gaylord Community Schools (rural): math 43% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #123 of 540 in MI (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Gaylord High Schoolvoc Bldg (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #99 of 713 statewide, top 14%, 961 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 43% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 209 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 24 units permitted in Otsego County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Otsego County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.8% in Gaylord — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-95WSR5AH0M5BTF
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29