3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,214 sqft ·
Built 2005
· Condo
· Pending
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,068/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$419
HOA
−$440
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$434
Net cashflow
$-274/mo
Annual
$-3,294/yr
Cap rate
4.65%
Cash-on-cash
-5.88%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-274 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $152k (24.2% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $152k (24.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#67 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute D-.
Gwinnett County (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #32 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Norcross Elementary School (math 25% / reading 24%, grade F, #753 of 1,228 statewide, top 64%, 806 students, 88% FRL); Summerour Middle School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #271 of 470 statewide, top 60%, 1,465 students, 90% FRL); Norcross High School (math 21% / reading 22%, grade F, #218 of 424 statewide, top 53%, 2,608 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 47% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Gwinnett County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,607 units permitted in Gwinnett County in 2024 (1,277 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gwinnett County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.5% in Norcross — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-96KS5SBWGBXE43
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29