2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,056 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Townhouse
· Active
· 60 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,503/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,411
Tax + insurance
−$552
HOA
−$370
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$526
Net cashflow
$-356/mo
Annual
$-4,268/yr
Cap rate
4.71%
Cash-on-cash
-5.67%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$75,320
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $269k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-356 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $206k (23.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (7.0% below list).
It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $206k (23.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#138 in NY, #2,169 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living C-, schools D+, health & safety D.
Ithaca City School District (urban): math 57% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #195 of 590 in NY (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 327 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 382 units permitted in Tompkins County in 2024 (208 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tompkins County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $82k; list at $269k implies a 226% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.1% in East Ithaca — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-96XBZF5DH4K22Z
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29