2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,378 sqft ·
Built 1975
· Condo
· Active
· 196 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,888/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,457
Tax + insurance
−$608
HOA
−$868
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,237
Net cashflow
$-1,282/mo
Annual
$-15,383/yr
Cap rate
4.48%
Cash-on-cash
-6.46%
DSCR
0.71
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$238,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $850k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $624k (26.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $589k (30.7% below list).
It's been on market 196 days — a 12% lower offer ($748k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $589k (30.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $46k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $40k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Roscomare Road Elementary (413 students, 9% FRL); Emerson Community Charter (492 students, 51% FRL, charter); University High School Charter (math 40% / reading 66%, grade C-, #285 of 1,170 statewide, top 25%, 1,338 students, 72% FRL, charter) — zoned schools average 44% FRL vs 67% district-wide (24 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 181 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $250k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $138k; list at $850k implies a 518% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$73k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($206k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 196 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29