3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,203 sqft ·
Built 2011
· Condo
· Active
· 81 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,172/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,195
Tax + insurance
−$247
HOA
−$80
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$456
Net cashflow
$193/mo
Annual
$2,321/yr
Cap rate
7.31%
Cash-on-cash
3.64%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$63,812
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $228k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $193 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $217k (4.7% below list).
It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($214k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $214k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#419 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Wylie ISD (suburban): math 64% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #28 of 826 in TX (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: T F Birmingham El (math 47% / reading 49%, grade D, #971 of 4,322 statewide, top 23%, 543 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 42% FRL vs 26% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 48% at this address vs 64% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Wylie ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 701 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.0% in Wylie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-97G0Z70G0RBPH4
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29