2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,512 sqft ·
Built 1925
· Other
· Active
· 346 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,103/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$834
Tax + insurance
−$195
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$232
Net cashflow
$-158/mo
Annual
$-1,892/yr
Cap rate
5.10%
Cash-on-cash
-4.25%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$44,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $159k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-158 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $131k (17.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (30.6% below list).
It's been on market 346 days — a 12% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $110k (30.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#517 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, health & safety D.
St. Louis County School District (rural): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #212 of 301 in MN (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $159k implies a 218% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 0.4% in Tower — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 346 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29