3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,680 sqft ·
Built 1995
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 43 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,658/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,390
Tax + insurance
−$172
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$348
Net cashflow
$-252/mo
Annual
$-3,023/yr
Cap rate
5.15%
Cash-on-cash
-4.07%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.63%
Cash to close
$74,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-252 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $220k (16.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (37.4% below list).
It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($257k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $166k (37.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#241 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, housing D, commute F.
Lumpkin County (rural): math 38% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #41 of 174 in GA (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Long Branch Elementary School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #336 of 1,228 statewide, top 29%, 392 students, 55% FRL); Lumpkin County Middle School (math 35% / reading 44%, grade F, #147 of 470 statewide, top 33%, 862 students, 40% FRL); Lumpkin County High School (math 30% / reading 41%, grade F, #81 of 424 statewide, top 19%, 1,134 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 43% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 72 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 277 units permitted in Lumpkin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lumpkin County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $135k; list at $265k implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.1% in Dahlonega — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9AKY4R09DXWXYK
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29