2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,176 sqft ·
Built 1981
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$103
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$315
Net cashflow
$426/mo
Annual
$5,113/yr
Cap rate
10.38%
Cash-on-cash
14.61%
DSCR
1.65
1% rule
1.20%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $426 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#227 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Highland School District (town): math 43% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 238 in AR (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Cherokee Elementary School (math 58% / reading 40%, grade D, #108 of 454 statewide, top 24%, 594 students, 100% FRL); Highland High School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #62 of 292 statewide, top 21%, 526 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 56% district-wide (44 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 688 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4 units permitted in Sharp County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sharp County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 5.7% in Cherokee Village — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9AMB3729G6E1TE
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29