1 bd · 1.5 ba ·
818 sqft ·
Built 2022
· Manufactured
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,151/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$83
HOA
−$597
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$452
Net cashflow
$548/mo
Annual
$6,577/yr
Cap rate
13.60%
Cash-on-cash
26.10%
DSCR
2.16
1% rule
2.39%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $548 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Branford School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #85 of 153 in CT (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Mary R. Tisko School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #237 of 553 statewide, top 45%, 352 students, 20% FRL); Branford High School (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #87 of 194 statewide, top 46%, 818 students, 41% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 28% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.6%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9B6KZF0296FH01
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29