1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
450 sqft ·
Built 1990
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,645/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$356
Tax + insurance
−$113
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$345
Net cashflow
$830/mo
Annual
$9,964/yr
Cap rate
20.97%
Cash-on-cash
52.41%
DSCR
3.33
1% rule
2.42%
Cash to close
$19,012
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $830 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $68k).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $469 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#121 in FL, #1,854 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, commute A; Watch: crime F.
Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 267 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: exterior paint
— The exterior image shows a wet road, suggesting recent rain or damp conditions, which may have affected the paint quality.
Minor: landscaping
— The exterior image shows a clean road and some greenery, but no landscaping features are visible in the listing photos.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9BM0B1AKZ9B9DC
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29