3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,205 sqft ·
Built 1886
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,304/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$165
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$274
Net cashflow
$346/mo
Annual
$4,151/yr
Cap rate
10.49%
Cash-on-cash
14.98%
DSCR
1.67
1% rule
1.32%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $346 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $93k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#104 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Wilkinson County School District (rural): math 4% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #124 of 130 in MS (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 95% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Wilkinson County Elementary (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #337 of 375 statewide, top 94%, 205 students, 100% FRL); William Winans Middle School (math 5% / reading 8%, grade F, #171 of 179 statewide, top 97%, 225 students, 100% FRL); Wilkinson County High (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #186 of 197 statewide, top 96%, 262 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools at 100% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1886 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP.
Wilkinson County population projected at -37% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (5.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1886 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Significant damage and potential leaks.
Major: exterior siding
— Peeling and in need of repainting.
Major: flooring
— Worn and in need of replacement.
Major: interior walls/paint
— Significant wear and tear.
Major: landscaping
— Overgrown and in need of maintenance.
Major: HVAC system
— Old and may need replacement or repair.
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· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29