3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,053 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 117 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,023/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$654
Tax + insurance
−$113
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$215
Net cashflow
$42/mo
Annual
$499/yr
Cap rate
6.69%
Cash-on-cash
1.43%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$34,916
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $42 ($499/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $102k (17.9% below list).
It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $102k (17.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $862 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#212 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
Enid (town): math 19% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #168 of 270 in OK (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Coolidge Es (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #479 of 845 statewide, top 63%, 381 students, 0% FRL); Longfellow Ms (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #277 of 345 statewide, top 83%, 503 students, 0% FRL); Enid Hs (math 14% / reading 26%, grade F, #236 of 447 statewide, top 61%, 2,252 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 64% district-wide (64 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 84 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Garfield County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Garfield County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $30k; list at $125k implies a 316% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 5.0% in Enid — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29