4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,087 sqft ·
Built 1932
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 89 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,218/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$458
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$466
Net cashflow
$-148/mo
Annual
$-1,779/yr
Cap rate
5.65%
Cash-on-cash
-2.31%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$77,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $275k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-148 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $254k (7.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (19.3% below list).
It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($258k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $222k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: International School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,048 of 2,108 statewide, top 97%, 981 students, 92% FRL); Hutchinson Central Technical High School (math 96% / reading 32%, grade B-, #807 of 1,100 statewide, top 73%, 1,175 students, 78% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 239 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
At $2,218/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 2873% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Signs of weathering and possible peeling
Moderate: Roof
— May have minor damage or wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-9CX4BD4YME5B42
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29