3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,376 sqft ·
Built 2012
· Other
· Pending
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,217/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$501
HOA
−$8
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$466
Net cashflow
$-331/mo
Annual
$-3,974/yr
Cap rate
4.97%
Cash-on-cash
-4.73%
DSCR
0.79
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$84,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-331 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $241k (19.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (26.1% below list).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $222k (26.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Gretna Public Schools (suburban): math 64% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #6 of 111 in NE (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Falling Waters Elementary School (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C+, #136 of 502 statewide, top 31%, 516 students, 13% FRL).
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $171k; list at $300k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9DTSX1FMG4DEXA
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29