2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,600 sqft ·
Built 2004
· Condo
· Pending
· 78 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,901/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,445
Tax + insurance
−$243
HOA
−$375
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$609
Net cashflow
$229/mo
Annual
$2,752/yr
Cap rate
7.29%
Cash-on-cash
3.57%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$77,140
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $276k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $229 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $276k).
It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($259k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $259k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#29 in IL, #529 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+.
Cons Hsd 230 (suburban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #146 of 620 in IL (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Carl Sandburg High School (math 41% / reading 45%, grade F, #72 of 693 statewide, top 10%, 2,894 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask is 72% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $148k; list at $276k implies a 86% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.5% in Orland Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9E61M66HF9DKHM
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29