2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
720 sqft ·
Built 2023
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$877/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$467
Tax + insurance
−$71
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$184
Net cashflow
$156/mo
Annual
$1,867/yr
Cap rate
8.39%
Cash-on-cash
7.49%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$24,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $156 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $88k (1.5% below list).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#727 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Sterling City ISD (rural): math 45% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #530 of 1,141 in TX (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Fairview Daep (1 students, 0% FRL); Fairview Special Programs (4 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 37% district-wide (37 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP.
Sterling County population projected at +81% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9E9WQTB9EPMG0Y
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29