4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
977 sqft ·
Built 1939
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 108 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,106/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$283
Tax + insurance
−$158
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$232
Net cashflow
$432/mo
Annual
$5,190/yr
Cap rate
15.90%
Cash-on-cash
34.32%
DSCR
2.53
1% rule
2.05%
Cash to close
$15,120
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $54k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $432 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $54k).
It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $49k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($373 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,174 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A, cost of living B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
Northern Adirondack Central School District (rural): math 47% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #430 of 590 in NY (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 192 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (64 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clinton County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9ECKB77YBZ1PTD
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29