1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
700 sqft ·
Built 1968
· Condo
· Pending
· 705 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,046/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$286
HOA
−$405
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$430
Net cashflow
$-44/mo
Annual
$-531/yr
Cap rate
6.01%
Cash-on-cash
-1.02%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
1.11%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $185k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-44 ($-531/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $177k (4.2% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
It's been on market 705 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $163k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#137 in FL, #2,054 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Ludlam Elementary School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #1,088 of 2,144 statewide, top 53%, 269 students, 56% FRL); South Miami Middle School (math 59% / reading 67%, grade B+, #111 of 571 statewide, top 20%, 725 students, 44% FRL); South Miami Senior High School (math 19% / reading 35%, grade F, #478 of 667 statewide, top 73%, 1,507 students, 59% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 266 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
11 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $150k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 705 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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