3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,552 sqft ·
Built 2006
· Townhouse
· Active
· 212 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,416/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,201
Tax + insurance
−$669
HOA
−$468
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$507
Net cashflow
$-430/mo
Annual
$-5,155/yr
Cap rate
4.39%
Cash-on-cash
-6.80%
DSCR
0.70
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$64,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $229k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-430 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $153k (33.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $229k).
It's been on market 212 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $153k (33.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Flour Bluff ISD (urban): math 43% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #209 of 826 in TX (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 685 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 3.6% in Corpus Christi — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 212 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-9GT99ED24WES3X
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29