3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,496 sqft ·
Built 1953
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,841/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,064
Tax + insurance
−$772
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,647
Net cashflow
$1,358/mo
Annual
$16,293/yr
Cap rate
8.40%
Cash-on-cash
7.51%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
1.01%
Cash to close
$217,000
Investor read
This is a 1×3bd/2ba + 1×2bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $775k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $679/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $775k).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($752k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $752k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $23k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Kensington Park Elementary School (math 38% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,575 of 2,144 statewide, top 74%, 922 students, 66% FRL); Citrus Grove Middle School (math 19% / reading 21%, grade F, #558 of 571 statewide, top 98%, 781 students, 66% FRL); Miami Arts Charter (math 46% / reading 59%, grade C-, #154 of 667 statewide, top 24%, 1,097 students, 2% FRL, charter) — zoned schools average 44% FRL vs 64% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 37% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 241 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $35k; list at $775k implies a 2114% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $7,841/mo this rent would consume 209% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 5223% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9GWP586Z88BZ0X
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29