2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,631 sqft ·
Built 1999
· Townhouse
· Active
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,072/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$660
HOA
−$265
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$645
Net cashflow
$-71/mo
Annual
$-855/yr
Cap rate
6.01%
Cash-on-cash
-1.02%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$83,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-71 ($-855/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $287k (4.2% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $300k).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $287k (4.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#182 in IL, #3,511 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living D+, amenities F.
Lincoln Way Chsd 210 (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #60 of 620 in IL (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Dr Julian Rogus School (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #392 of 2,056 statewide, top 21%, 644 students, 0% FRL); Summit Hill Junior High School (math 41% / reading 44%, grade D-, #109 of 665 statewide, top 17%, 640 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,028 units permitted in Will County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
Will County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
5 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $202k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.9% in Mokena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9H47ZSANHEG0M5
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29