3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,566 sqft ·
Built 1934
· Other
· Active
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$963/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$92
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$202
Net cashflow
$302/mo
Annual
$3,624/yr
Cap rate
11.47%
Cash-on-cash
18.49%
DSCR
1.82
1% rule
1.38%
Cash to close
$19,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $302 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($963 rent vs $70k).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#288 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Henry County R-I (town): math 27% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #270 of 324 in MO (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Windsor Elem. (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #813 of 1,115 statewide, top 75%, 377 students, 58% FRL); Windsor High (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #356 of 521 statewide, top 71%, 326 students, 48% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1934 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Henry County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 4.2% in Windsor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1934 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29