1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,005 sqft ·
Built 1971
· Condo
· Active
· 215 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,734/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$739
HOA
−$758
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$574
Net cashflow
$-202/mo
Annual
$-2,430/yr
Cap rate
7.92%
Cash-on-cash
5.82%
DSCR
1.26
1% rule
1.66%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $165k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-202 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $129k (21.7% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $165k).
It's been on market 215 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $129k (21.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $869 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#127 in FL, #1,834 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: health & safety A+, amenities A, commute A; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Aventura Waterways K-8 Center (math 56% / reading 65%, grade B-, #664 of 2,144 statewide, top 32%, 2,168 students, 32% FRL); Highland Oaks Middle School (math 28% / reading 51%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 774 students, 50% FRL); Dr. Michael M. Krop Senior High (math 21% / reading 46%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 2,235 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 44% FRL vs 64% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 28% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 2152 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $38k; list at $165k implies a 340% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 1.8% in Aventura — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,734/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 17% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 215 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Roof
— The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear and potential water damage.
Major: Exterior walls and siding
— The exterior walls and siding show signs of aging and potential water damage.
Major: Flooring
— The flooring in the interior appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear and potential damage.
Major: Interior walls and paint
— The interior walls and paint appear to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear and potential damage.
Major: Kitchen appliances
— The kitchen appears to be in poor condition, with outdated appliances and potential damage.
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— The bathroom appears to be in poor condition, with outdated fixtures and potential damage.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9HJGEHEK01AR37
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29