3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,415 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Townhouse
· Active
· 79 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,803/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,274
Tax + insurance
−$405
HOA
−$100
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$379
Net cashflow
$-355/mo
Annual
$-4,260/yr
Cap rate
4.54%
Cash-on-cash
-6.26%
DSCR
0.72
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$68,037
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $243k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-355 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $192k (21.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (25.8% below list).
It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $180k (25.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#60 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Carroll County (rural): math 42% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #38 of 174 in GA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Providence Elementary School (math 40% / reading 35%, grade F, #474 of 1,228 statewide, top 39%, 528 students, 56% FRL); Temple Middle School (math 31% / reading 36%, grade F, #206 of 470 statewide, top 45%, 621 students, 67% FRL); Temple High School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #213 of 424 statewide, top 51%, 746 students, 62% FRL).
Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 876 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carroll County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9HVDENAT9390A1
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29