2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
898 sqft ·
Built 1890
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$913/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$162
Tax + insurance
−$53
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$192
Net cashflow
$507/mo
Annual
$6,081/yr
Cap rate
26.04%
Cash-on-cash
70.52%
DSCR
4.14
1% rule
2.97%
Cash to close
$8,624
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $31k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $507 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($913 rent vs $31k).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $30k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $213 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $924 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#76 in IA, #1,607 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F.
Creston Community School District (town): math 63% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #195 of 289 in IA (top 68%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 26.0% vs local median 4.6% in Creston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9HWDHF03C8MG8T
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29