1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
723 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,820/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,812
Tax + insurance
−$2,165
HOA
−$831
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,642
Net cashflow
$-3,630/mo
Annual
$-43,562/yr
Cap rate
2.94%
Cash-on-cash
-11.98%
DSCR
0.47
1% rule
0.60%
Cash to close
$363,720
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $1.30M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4k ($-44k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $774k (40.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $782k (39.8% below list).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.28M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $774k (40.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $130k of equity ($9k loan paydown + $121k appreciation (9.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.2%/yr); 365 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$209k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $7,820/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($154k/yr) (locally 3480% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9J9KV36T3S3RJW
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29