7 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,038 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Other
· Pending
· 118 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,677/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,019
Tax + insurance
−$271
HOA
−$175
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$562
Net cashflow
$-350/mo
Annual
$-4,201/yr
Cap rate
5.20%
Cash-on-cash
-3.90%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$107,797
Investor read
This is a 7-bed/4.0-bath other listed at $385k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-350 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $323k (16.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $268k (30.5% below list).
It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($350k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $268k (30.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#29 in GA, #3,797 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: employment C-, amenities D-, commute F.
Forsyth County (suburban): math 62% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #5 of 174 in GA (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Silver City Elementary School (math 66% / reading 56%, grade B, #118 of 1,228 statewide, top 10%, 1,128 students, 16% FRL); North Forsyth Middle School (math 47% / reading 49%, grade C-, #80 of 470 statewide, top 17%, 1,191 students, 20% FRL); North Forsyth High School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #140 of 424 statewide, top 35%, 2,065 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools at 17% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 46% at this address vs 62% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Forsyth County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 823 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 2,525 units permitted in Forsyth County in 2024 (810 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forsyth County population projected at +71% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 2.8% in Cumming — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9JTR5950RFD448
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29