2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
888 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,497/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$419
Tax + insurance
−$68
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$314
Net cashflow
$695/mo
Annual
$8,344/yr
Cap rate
16.74%
Cash-on-cash
37.30%
DSCR
2.66
1% rule
1.87%
Cash to close
$22,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $695 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-2.9%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#48 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Miami Unified District (4211) (rural): math 8% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #221 of 249 in AZ (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 217 units permitted in Gila County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gila County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $46k; list at $80k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9K2QXF72W7GRE7
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29