4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,512 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Other
· Active
· 93 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,615/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$991
Tax + insurance
−$139
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$339
Net cashflow
$146/mo
Annual
$1,751/yr
Cap rate
7.22%
Cash-on-cash
3.31%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$52,920
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $189k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $146 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $162k (14.5% below list).
It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $162k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $173 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#401 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $15k; list at $189k implies a 1160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9K5J4ZCDKJJYST
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29