2 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,658 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,138/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,337
Tax + insurance
−$338
HOA
−$430
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$449
Net cashflow
$-417/mo
Annual
$-4,998/yr
Cap rate
4.33%
Cash-on-cash
-7.00%
DSCR
0.69
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$71,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $255k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-417 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $181k (28.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (16.2% below list).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $181k (28.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#21 in MN, #575 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Eden Prairie Public School District (urban): math 61% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #13 of 301 in MN (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Eagle Heights Spanish Immersion (math 62% / reading 75%, grade B+, #91 of 857 statewide, top 11%, 715 students, 9% FRL); Central Middle School (math 55% / reading 69%, grade B+, #19 of 258 statewide, top 8%, 1,909 students, 30% FRL); Eden Prairie Senior High (math 61% / reading 71%, grade B, #24 of 471 statewide, top 5%, 2,833 students, 31% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 20% of rent.
Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 2.7% in Eden Prairie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9KKBDS88SFRWKC
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29