4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,828 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Land
· Pending
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,965/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,956
Tax + insurance
−$242
HOA
−$157
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$623
Net cashflow
$-13/mo
Annual
$-160/yr
Cap rate
6.25%
Cash-on-cash
-0.15%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$104,437
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $373k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-13 ($-160/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $371k (0.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $296k (20.5% below list).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($367k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $296k (20.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-2.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#46 in FL, #867 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D-.
Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 333 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9M7WPEB8VMAP7D
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29