4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,750 sqft ·
Built 1949
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 43 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,631/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,547
Tax + insurance
−$201
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$763
Net cashflow
$1,120/mo
Annual
$13,445/yr
Cap rate
10.85%
Cash-on-cash
16.28%
DSCR
1.72
1% rule
1.23%
Cash to close
$82,600
Investor read
This is a 2×2bd/1ba + 2×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $295k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $280/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $295k).
It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $286k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#10 in MO, #1,296 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
Independence 30 (suburban): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #252 of 324 in MO (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: William Chrisman High (math 21% / reading 45%, grade F, #351 of 521 statewide, top 68%, 1,406 students, 66% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.8% rent growth), your $83k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 5.0% in Independence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,631/mo this rent would consume 89% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 972% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9MSKP24QXPZ1G8
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29