1414 E Poplar St

Petersburg, IN 47567

$56,000B-

2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,256 sqft · Built 1910 · SingleFamily · Pending · 1 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,116/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$294
• Tax + insurance: −$115
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$234
• Net cashflow: $473/mo
• Annual: $5,679/yr
• Cap rate: 16.43%
• Cash-on-cash: 36.22%
• DSCR: 2.61
• 1% rule: 1.99%
• Cash to close: $15,680

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $56k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $473 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $56k).
• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $387 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#231 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Pike County School Corporation (rural): math 29% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #203 of 301 in IN (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Petersburg Elementary School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #652 of 994 statewide, top 68%, 458 students, 57% FRL); Pike Central Middle School (math 20% / reading 33%, grade F, #236 of 330 statewide, top 72%, 366 students, 49% FRL); Pike Central High School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #169 of 369 statewide, top 51%, 475 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 33% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Pike County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $45k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.