3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,660 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 299 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,752/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,070
Tax + insurance
−$381
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$368
Net cashflow
$-67/mo
Annual
$-799/yr
Cap rate
5.90%
Cash-on-cash
-1.40%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$57,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $204k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-67 ($-799/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $192k (5.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (14.1% below list).
It's been on market 299 days — a 12% lower offer ($180k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $175k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#229 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
Clayton County (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #155 of 174 in GA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: William M. Mcgarrah Elementary School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #878 of 1,228 statewide, top 75%, 642 students, 90% FRL); Morrow Middle School (math 14% / reading 24%, grade F, #368 of 470 statewide, top 79%, 779 students, 90% FRL); Morrow High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #277 of 424 statewide, top 67%, 1,980 students, 91% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 173 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 865 units permitted in Clayton County in 2024 (448 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clayton County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $120k; list at $204k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 299 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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