3 bd · 3.5 ba ·
1,345 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Townhouse
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,140/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,704
Tax + insurance
−$542
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$449
Net cashflow
$-555/mo
Annual
$-6,663/yr
Cap rate
4.24%
Cash-on-cash
-7.32%
DSCR
0.67
1% rule
0.66%
Cash to close
$91,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath townhouse listed at $325k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-555 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (24.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (34.1% below list).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $214k (34.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Bonham El (math 40% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,437 of 4,322 statewide, top 34%, 525 students, 40% FRL); Lone Star Middle (math 28% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 903 students, 63% FRL); Central H S (math 22% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,029 of 1,632 statewide, top 64%, 3,065 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 331 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$56k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9PT0NM4WC9D5W8
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29