8 bd · 3.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1950
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,325/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,645
Tax + insurance
−$1,158
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,538
Net cashflow
$984/mo
Annual
$11,805/yr
Cap rate
7.99%
Cash-on-cash
6.07%
DSCR
1.27
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$194,600
Investor read
This is a 8-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $695k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $984 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $695k).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($674k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $674k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $26k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#116 in NJ, #2,955 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Jersey City Public Schools (urban): math 16% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #369 of 472 in NJ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 5,310 units permitted in Hudson County in 2024 (4,154 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hudson County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $195k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 1.8% in Jersey City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exterior paint
— Significant discoloration
Major: Exterior siding
— Exposed brick facade
Minor: Kitchen appliances
— Standard appliances
CashFlowRE · CFR-9PZ80S645HBV14
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29