4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,112 sqft ·
Built 1800
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 114 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,496/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,568
Tax + insurance
−$466
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$734
Net cashflow
$728/mo
Annual
$8,734/yr
Cap rate
9.21%
Cash-on-cash
10.43%
DSCR
1.46
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$83,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $728 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $299k).
It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $272k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#221 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D+, crime F, commute F.
Freetown-Lakeville (rural): math 47% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #109 of 302 in MA (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Freetown-Lakeville Middle School (math 44% / reading 47%, grade D+, #109 of 305 statewide, top 37%, 675 students, 0% FRL); Apponequet Regional High (math 67% / reading 77%, grade B+, #70 of 343 statewide, top 22%, 729 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1800 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 760 units permitted in Bristol County in 2024 (142 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bristol County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $150k; list at $299k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.5% in Fall River — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1800 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29