3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,008 sqft ·
Built 1981
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,358/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$175
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$285
Net cashflow
$-230/mo
Annual
$-2,765/yr
Cap rate
5.01%
Cash-on-cash
-4.59%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.63%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-230 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (18.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (36.9% below list).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $136k (36.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#55 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, commute F.
Lexington 02 (suburban): math 30% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #45 of 80 in SC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Congaree Elementary (math 27% / reading 24%, grade F, #444 of 597 statewide, top 75%, 368 students, 100% FRL); Airport High (math 40% / reading 79%, grade C+, #110 of 196 statewide, top 58%, 1,428 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 59% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $154k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9Q7NJA2WBQ52BP
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29