3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built 1990
· Manufactured
· Active
· 423 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,915/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$576
Tax + insurance
−$70
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$402
Net cashflow
$867/mo
Annual
$10,406/yr
Cap rate
15.76%
Cash-on-cash
33.81%
DSCR
2.50
1% rule
1.74%
Cash to close
$30,776
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $867 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
It's been on market 423 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,522 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Damon ISD (rural): math 25% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #1,103 of 1,141 in TX (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).
Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $20k; list at $110k implies a 450% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 423 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9QH31447THP8R3
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29