3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,642 sqft ·
Built 1984
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,871/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,306
Tax + insurance
−$252
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$393
Net cashflow
$-80/mo
Annual
$-964/yr
Cap rate
5.91%
Cash-on-cash
-1.38%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$69,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $249k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-80 ($-964/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $235k (5.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (24.9% below list).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($245k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $187k (24.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#179 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Glynn County (other): math 37% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #47 of 174 in GA (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Greer Elementary School (math 50% / reading 47%, grade D, #284 of 1,228 statewide, top 23%, 625 students, 50% FRL); Needwood Middle School (math 24% / reading 44%, grade F, #201 of 470 statewide, top 44%, 748 students, 66% FRL); Brunswick High School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #88 of 424 statewide, top 22%, 1,932 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools at 59% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 734 units permitted in Glynn County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).
Glynn County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.5% in Country Club Estates — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9QZG7M56JGR6K7
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29