4 bd · 3.5 ba ·
5,093 sqft ·
Built 1988
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,067/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$10,462
Tax + insurance
−$3,325
HOA
−$104
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$434
Net cashflow
$-12,258/mo
Annual
$-147,101/yr
Cap rate
-1.08%
Cash-on-cash
-26.33%
DSCR
-0.17
1% rule
0.10%
Cash to close
$558,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $2.00M. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-12k ($-147k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $221k (88.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (89.6% below list).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.97M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $207k (89.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $14k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $60k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#272 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Greene County (rural): math 27% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #82 of 174 in GA (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Anita White Carson Middle School (math 8% / reading 15%, grade F, #424 of 470 statewide, top 90%, 524 students, 97% FRL); Greene County High School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #394 of 424 statewide, top 97%, 420 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 64% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 8% at this address vs 32% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Greene County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 750 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 295 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Greene County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate -1.1% vs local median 1.1% in Greensboro — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
CashFlowRE · CFR-9RBHGY67M3BE25
· Data 3 months agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29