40 Terra Cotta Ave

Glens Falls, NY 12801

$275,000D+

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,659 sqft · Built 1900 · MultiFamily · Pending · 5 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $3,078/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,442
• Tax + insurance: −$542
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$646
• Net cashflow: $448/mo
• Annual: $5,373/yr
• Cap rate: 8.25%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.98%
• DSCR: 1.31
• 1% rule: 1.12%
• Cash to close: $77,000

Investor read

• This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $275k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $448 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $224/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $275k).
• Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 83/100 on livability (#60 in NY, #894 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, housing A+.
• Glens Falls City School District (urban): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #416 of 590 in NY (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Jackson Heights School (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #1,085 of 2,108 statewide, top 56%, 251 students, 65% FRL); Glens Falls Senior High School (math 98% / reading 64%, grade A, #485 of 1,100 statewide, top 45%, 601 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 35% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 65% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Glens Falls City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 180 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Warren County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.8% in Glens Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $3,078/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($68k/yr) (locally 866% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.